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What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 … countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while … others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309562
What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 … countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while … others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014986
We develop a simple model of defaultable debt and rational bubbles in the price of an asset, which can be pledged as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936783
Housing prices have increased substantially in some emerging markets in recent years. Turkish housing market has also experienced a boom over the last decade with rapid house price appreciations. This study is the first to employ two different house price indexes to analyze housing bubble in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949325
Using the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's Commitments of Traders data, considering both the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and the power ARCH volatility-based models, it has been found that the lagged volatility and the news about volatility from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073840
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003716134
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001867707
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014559245
Persistent variations in the log price-to-dividend ratio (PtDR) have triggered a lively discussion in the literature. This paper proposes a present value model incorporating this persistence through a time-varying steady state of the PtDR. Log-likelihood statistics confirm that the time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340530
By using a nonlinear VAR model, we investigate whether the response of the US stock and housing markets to uncertainty shocks depends on financial conditions. Our model allows us to change the response of the US financial markets to volatility shocks in periods of normal and financial distress....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013198932