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I develop a model of strategic entry by candidates for office in runoff elections under aggregate uncertainty. I introduce aggregate uncertainty by making candidates unsure of the distribution of voter preferences in the electorate. The set of three candidate equilibria expands and equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921841
We analyze a psychologically-based model of voter turnout in an election with common value and uncertainty. Our model yields distinctive comparative statics results. First, an increase in the proportion of informed citizens may cause the winning margin for the right candidate to either rise or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315570
understanding the timing and intensity of public firms' merger activity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005635
The practice of merger arbitrage is one of the more popular and profitable strategies employed by many hedge funds. At … its core, the strategy is one that earns an excess return for the assumption of a specified risk. Merger arbs purchase … usually trade some measure below the agreed-upon merger price, due to the risk that the merger might not actually occur. If …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009101
We analyze the determinants of a firm's ownership structure when decisions over risk are taken by majority vote of risk-averse shareholders. We show that when a fraction of small, diversified shareholders abstains from voting, mid-sized blockholders may emerge to mitigate the conflict of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012708408
In merger agreements, the seller makes contractual representations and warranties (“reps”) about the state of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247701
important in merger arbitrage, where deal failure is a key risk. In this paper, I propose a dynamic asset pricing model that … addition, the model accurately predicts that merger arbitrage exhibits low volatility and a large Sharpe ratio when deals are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011413251
Adjustment of behavior to maintain risk, known as risk homeostasis, has previously been studied in a variety of psychological, health, social and economic contexts. This paper examines the evidence for risk homeostasis in corporate financial decisions involving mergers and acquisitions (M&As)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115811
This research examines the relationship between policy uncertainty and mergers and acquisitions (M&As). We find that policy uncertainty is negatively related to firm acquisitiveness and positively related to the time it takes to complete M&A deals. In addition, policy uncertainty motivates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963997
-level uncertainty is characterized by a pecking order: the announcement of a domestic takeover leads to a reduction in the uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841927