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We analyze a psychologically-based model of voter turnout in an election with common value and uncertainty. Our model yields distinctive comparative statics results. First, an increase in the proportion of informed citizens may cause the winning margin for the right candidate to either rise or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315570
A primary concern in mergers and acquisitions is the risk the deal may be cancelled before it is completed. We document that this ``interim risk" varies asymmetrically with the aggregate market return. Deals paid in cash tend to be renegotiated when the market rises but cancelled when the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842917
I develop a model of strategic entry by candidates for office in runoff elections under aggregate uncertainty. I introduce aggregate uncertainty by making candidates unsure of the distribution of voter preferences in the electorate. The set of three candidate equilibria expands and equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921841
exacerbate the reaction. When a FO is used by a busy board, the market reacts more negatively to the merger announcement. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156557
This paper studies the effect of pre-election polls on the participation decision of citizens in a large, two-candidate election, and the resulting incentives for the poll participants. Citizens have private values and voting is costly and instrumental. The environment is ex ante symmetric and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270501
and above the normal charge-offs. This paper examines the risk associated with post-merger variability in the charge … measure of risk to profitability in a bank's loan portfolio based on traditional portfolio theory. This measure is used to … the years following the merger. The paper finds that the combined loan portfolios of merging BHCs have higher than average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120155
-taking. These results are consistent with the “takeover incentive hypothesis,” an original proposition stating that GPs influence … risk-taking through the incentive of a CEO with a GP to accept a takeover, as well as delta's role in affecting the weight … of the CEO's incentive to maximize the expected takeover-associated equity portfolio wealth. The findings do not support …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065544
Political and regulatory uncertainty is strongly negatively associated with merger and acquisition activity at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968665
be renegotiated, to feature slower completion times, and to fail even after controlling for merger arbitrage spreads and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854474
analysis reveals that the acquirer captures a greater fraction of merger gains relative to the targets in such a deal, which … indicates that the target's bargaining position in merger negotiations is weakened during its national election year. Political …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938384