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We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and simple to implement. We derive this measure from an option-pricing model where investors anticipate an announcement that simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244502
We study whether bond markets efficiently incorporate information about risk. Our results suggest that bond investors underreact to risk information embedded in earnings announcements. A one-standard deviation increase in unexpected risk is associated with a three-day abnormal bond return about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352643
This study seeks to determine whether earnings announcements pose non-diversifiable volatility risk that commands a risk premium. We find that investors anticipate some earnings announcements to convey news that increases market return volatility and pay a premium to hedge this non-diversifiable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010205852
We propose to investigate a possible relationship between analysts' busyness and stock price crash risk. Previous empirical evidence suggests that analysts' busyness plays a key role in forecast accuracy. However, we did not find studies that seeks to analyze how busyness alters the monitoring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251929
We investigate the extent to which international and domestic economic policy uncertainty (EPU) impacts analysts’ earnings forecasts for Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) listed firms. Over a twenty-year period, we demonstrate that EPU is positively associated with analyst coverage, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355572
This study examines whether key characteristics of analysts' forecasts — timeliness, accuracy, and informativeness — change when investor demand for information is likely to be especially high, i.e., during periods of high uncertainty. Findings reveal that when uncertainty is high, analysts'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250690
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132250
We show that option-implied jump tail risk estimated prior to earnings announcements strongly predicts post-earnings risk-adjusted abnormal stock returns. The predictive power of implied jump tail risk is particularly strong on extreme abnormal stock returns whose absolute values exceed 10%. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913958
Option-implied betas are a promising alternative to historical beta estimators, because they are inherently forward-looking and can incorporate new information immediately and fully. Recently, different implied beta estimators have been developed in previous literature, but very little is known...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061242
This study reveals the information content of individual investors' risk-adjusted return expectations. Although individual investors overestimate the performance of their stock purchases on average, the cross-sectional variation in their risk-adjusted return expectations is predictive of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062946