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This paper uses the method developed by Bollerslev and Todorov (2011b) to estimate risk premia for extreme events for the US and the German stock markets. The method extracts jump tail measures from high-frequency futures price data and from options data. In a second step, jump tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249730
assets. Building on this idea, we propose the use of a highly flexible and tractable model to forecast the volatility of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407672
Portfolio risk estimation in volatile markets requires employing fat-tailed models for financial returns combined with copula functions to capture asymmetries in dependence and an appropriate downside risk measure. In this survey, we discuss how these three essential components can be combined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134877
A flexible framework for the analysis of tail events is proposed. The framework contains tail moment measures that allow for Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation. Connecting the implied tail thickness of a family of distributions with the quantile and expectile estimation, a platform for risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349502
A flexible framework for the analysis of tail events is proposed. The framework contains tail moment measures that allow for Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation. Connecting the implied tail thickness of a family of distributions with the quantile and expectile estimation, a platform for risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854818
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014631255
Large data sets in finance with millions of observations have becomewidely available. Such data sets enable the construction of reliablesemi-parametric estimates of the risk associated with extreme pricemovements. Our approach is based on semi-parametric statisticalextreme value analysis, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299966
One of the key components of financial risk management is risk measurement. This typically requires modeling, estimating and forecasting tail-related quantities of the asset returns’ conditional distribution. Recent advances in the financial econometrics literature have developed several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866456
-portfolio specific volatility indices called portfolio risk drivers. The dynamics of the risk drivers are modelled by multiplicative …. The proposed risk drivers capture the volatility structure of asset returns in different industry sectors. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989295
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792861