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This paper examines the effect of different dimensions of uncertainty on expectations of WTI crude oil futures momentum traders at a daily level. We consider two concepts of uncertainty and two momentum trading indicators based on technical analysis. In addition, we also use wavelet techniques...
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We find that commodity risk is priced in the cross-section of US stock returns. Following the financialization of … commodities, investors hedge commodity price risk directly in the futures market, primarily via commodity index investments … market investors increasingly participate in commodity futures markets, stock market risk is also priced in the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068442
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We analyze the variance risk of commodity markets. We construct synthetic variance swaps and find significantly … futures returns, indicating that variance risk is unspanned by commodity futures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905452
This paper investigates price jumps in commodity markets. We find that jumps are rare and extreme events but occur less frequently than in stock markets. Nonetheless, jump correlations across commodities can be high depending on the commodity sectors. Energy, metal and grains commodities show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751125
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We propose a novel measure of the ex-ante commodity downside-risk premium (CDP) for each commodity based on a term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239736
Using 10-year option and future data of global market, the risk-neutral skewness, estimated by model-free method has … extra 8.3% return annually. The higher (lower) current risk-neutral skewness, the lower (higher) the subsequent return. The … two-step regression shows that risk-neutral skewness has negative relation on the future return. This result is robust to …
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