particular the basics of probability theory, the models of social risks of unemployment in terms of occupational groups and …

at risk in the euro area and in the United States. We model the asymmetry of the shocks to changes in the unemployment … the unemployment rate displays time-varying volatility and skewness, with peaks coinciding with the Global Financial … risk defined as the possible joint event of large increases in the unemployment rate and large annual rates of inflation …

the dynamics. Microsimulations of synthetic cohorts reveal that many migrants experience unemployment spells, but ten … only increase the unemployment among migrants but also departure from the country. Scenarios also indicate that an increase …