The purpose of this paper is to study the compensation for in ation risks priced in sovereign bond yields. And we do so … expected and unexpected in ation shocks embedded in sovereign bond yields; and provides estimates of the real risk-free rate …. We show that nominal sovereign bond yields for Germany, France, Japan and the United States, reflect, over the more …

We examine time-varying explanatory power of realized moments on subsequent bond futures excess returns using more than … 12 years of high-frequency data from U.S. and German sovereign bond markets. We detect realized volatility and realized … traditional bond return predictors such as term or default spreads. Most importantly, we reveal the bond excess return …

I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I … account for up to 31% of the variation in excess bond returns. The main predictor factors are associated with point … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …

We show that uncertainty of monetary policy (MPU) commands a risk premium in the US Treasury bond market. Using the … significantly and positively future monthly Treasury bond excess returns. This forecastability remains significant controlling for … standard bond risk premium predictors based on yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals. The predictive power of MPU is not …

not spanned by the current yield curve. The disaster risk factor delivers a counter cycle bond risk premium, and the … risk accounts for a sizable portion of variations in the time-varying bond risk premium …

corporate bond and stock markets. Using a comprehensive bond dataset, we observe a significant momentum effect in corporate bond … returns and bond credit spread changes. The momentum effect in bond total returns, however, is confined to low-grade bonds and … bond credit spread, not the total return, is a more appropriate proxy to examine the response of bond prices to new …

for the complete cat bond market from 2001 to 2020, we provide insights into relevant risk factors in the cross-section of … cat bond returns. After investigating a battery of possible cat bond return factors in bivariate and multivariate … portfolio sorts as well as Fama-MacBeth regressions, we propose a four-factor cat bond model. Its factors are the seasonality …

We derive a simple expression for the sensitivity of duration, convexity, and higher-order bond risk measures to … effects of term structure level, slope, and curvature shifts on any specific bond risk measure. These results are particularly …

-section of long-term bond returns after accounting for standard bond pricing factors …