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indicate that supplementing the inflation target with a tolerance interval may be useful to enhance central bank credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012198219
Central banks face uncertainty about the true location of the effective lower bound (ELB) on nominal interest rates. We model optimal discretionary monetary policy during a liquidity trap when the central bank designs policy that is robust with respect to the location of the ELB. If the central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992357
shock. We find that flexible inflation targeting regime using interest rate rules (IRRs) with floating exchange rates is …-DSGE model, we show that inflation targeting regime using exchange rate rules (ERRs) reduces welfare losses significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827002
output-inflation volatility frontier of each model for alternative specifications of the interest rate rule, subject to an …-difference of the federal funds rate responds to the current output gap and the deviation of the one-year average inflation rate … complicated rules (i.e., rules that respond to a larger number of variables and/or additional lags of output and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014202911
Should monetary policy be more aggressive or more cautious when facing uncertainty on the relationship between macroeconomic variables? This paper's answer is: “it depends” on the degree of persistence of the shocks that hit the economy. The paper studies optimal monetary policy in a basic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865374
of the responsiveness of price inflation to that slack. Using stochastic simulations of a small-scale version of the … setting the policy rate, and substitute toward a more forceful response to inflation, is overstated. We find that a notable … response to the unemployment gap is typically beneficial, even if that gap is mismeasured. Even when the dynamics of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016122
into a VAR model with ARCH shocks to measure the effect monetary policy uncertainty has on inflation, output growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126663
In New Keynesian models favourable cost-push shocks lower inflation and increase output. Yet, when the central bank …'s inflation target is not perfectly observed these shocks turn contractionary as agents erroneously perceive a temporary reduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864901
This paper analyzes how the risks of nominal and inflation-indexed Treasury bonds vary with the presence of supply and … and 2001.Q2-2019.Q4. For the 1980s calibration, volatile supply shocks raise inflation and the Fed responds by raising … predictability through habit formation preferences. Partially backward-looking inflation expectations by price-setters are important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403693
inflation? New measures of consumer inflation uncertainty are compared to the economic and monetary policy uncertainty indices …-run inflation, while monetary policy uncertainty is most correlated with uncertainty about long-run inflation. Both economic and … monetary policy uncertainty Granger cause inflation uncertainty. Consumer inflation uncertainty can be computed for demographic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990743