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Uncertainty of macroeconomic forecasters and the prediction of stock market bubbles
Herwartz, Helmut; Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič - 2014
forecasts -- to the ex post and ex ante prediction of stock price bubbles. For a panel of six OECD economies covering 24 years … signalling of stock price booms and bubbles. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010400661
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An investor’s perspective on risk-models and characteristic-models
Fieberg, Christian; Poddig, Thorsten; Varmaz, Armin - In: Journal of risk finance : the convergence of financial … 17 (2016) 3, pp. 262-276
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011628338
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Predicting multi-scale positive and negative stock market bubbles in a panel of G7 countries : the role of oil price uncertainty
Van Eyden, Reneé; Gupta, Rangan; Sheng, Xin; Nielsen, … - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014369400
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Uncertainty of Macroeconomic Forecasters and the Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles
Herwartz, Helmut - 2014
forecasts - to the ex post and ex ante prediction of stock price bubbles. For a panel of six OECD economies covering 24 years … signalling of stock price booms and bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048399
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Using Market BuVaR as countercyclical Value at Risk approach to account for the risks of stock market crashes
Riedle, Thorsten - In: The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal … 69 (2018), pp. 308-321
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035022
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Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news
Born, Benjamin; Dovern, Jonas; Enders, Zeno - 2020
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404549
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Expectation dispersion, uncertainty, and the reaction to news
Born, Benjamin; Dovern, Jonas; Enders, Zeno - 2020
Releases of key macroeconomic indicators are closely watched by financial markets. We investigate the role of expectation dispersion and economic uncertainty for the stock-market reaction to indicator releases. We find that the strength of the financial market response to news decreases with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404647
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Modeling price dynamics and risk forecasting in Tehran stock exchange : conditional variance heteroscedasticity hidden Markov models
Nilchi, Moslem; Farid, Daryush; Peymany, Moslem; … - In: Iranian journal of finance 7 (2023) 3, pp. 1-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014429053
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Analysis of stock markets risk spillover with copula models under the background of Chinese financial opening
Du, Jiangze; Chen, Xizhuo; Gong, Jincheng; Lin, Xiao; … - In: International journal of finance & economics : IJFE 28 (2023) 4, pp. 3997-4019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014429264