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Algorithmic traders acknowledge that their models are incorrectly specified, thus we allow for ambiguity in their choices to make their models robust to misspecification in: (i) the arrival rate of market orders (MOs), (ii) the fill probability of limit orders, and (iii) the dynamics of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974087
Both mathematical modelling and simulation methods in general have contributed greatly to understanding, insight and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110757
A kind of worst-case value-at-risk, GVaR, is defined to measure risk incorporating model uncertainty. Compared with most extant notions of worst-case VaR, GVaR can be computed by an explicit formula, and can be applied to large portfolios of several hundreds dimensions with low computational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849174
Consider any situation involving uncertainty, where the random variable of interest (e.g., payoff) is X. Let there exist a random variable, say Y, which represents the uncertainty intrinsic to the situation, and let there exist a function g such that X=g(Y). Our contention is that, once the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854222
This article extends one of the primary models used for calculating the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC), DICE, to account for uncertainty regarding economic damages per additional warming degree and uncertainty over the temperature response from doubling atmospheric CO2. Coupled with consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910169
I study the problem of regulating a network of interdependent financial institutions that is prone to contagion when there is uncertainty regarding its precise structure. I show that such uncertainty reduces the scope for welfare-improving interventions. While improving network transparency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865113
An extensive list of risks relative to big data frameworks and their use through models of artificial intelligence is provided along with measurements and implementable solutions. Bias, interpretability and ethics are studied in depth, with several interpretations from the point of view of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866760
The aim of this paper is to introduce a risk measure that extends the Gini-type measures of risk and variability, the Extended Gini Shortfall, by taking risk aversion into consideration. Our risk measure is coherent and catches variability, an important concept for risk management. The analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933418
I study the problem of regulating a network of interdependent financial institutions that is prone to contagion when there is uncertainty regarding its precise structure. I show that such uncertainty reduces the scope for welfare-improving interventions. While improving network transparency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826786
The catastrophic events are characterized by "low frequency and high severity". Nevertheless, during the last decades, both the frequency and the magnitude of these events have been significantly rising worldwide. In 2021, the European Commission adopted a new Strategy on Adaptation to Climate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609390