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This paper studies the implications for reserve lifetime and related quantities in a continuous time model of resource extraction under uncertainty. Both the resource price and the extracted amount are assumed to follow stochastic processes. Reserve lifetime is determined by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061983
A global planning problem is analyzed for extracting an exhaustible resource like oil when resource extraction - the only source for current consumption - also generates additions to the stock of GHGs that influence the likelihood of hitting a threshold representing climate change. We derive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636059
Goal: ISO 31000 Risk Management (RM) recently re-defined risk as the effect of uncertainty on an organization's ability to meet the objectives. Earlier, it defined risk as a combination of the probability and scope of the (predicted) consequences. The revised ISO Risk advances beyond a static...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256748
To determine the appropriate level of risk capital financial institutions are required to empirically estimate and predict specific risk measures. Although regulation commonly prescribes the forecasting horizon and the frequency with which risk assessments have to be reported, the scheme with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933670
It is well-known that outliers exist in the type of multivariate data used by financial practitioners for portfolio construction and risk management. Typically, outliers are addressed prior to model fitting by applying some combination of trimming and/or Winsorization to each individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946531
Dependence modelling and estimation is a key issue in the assessment of portfolio risk. When measuring extreme risk in terms of the Value-at-Risk, the multivariate normal model with linear correlation as its natural dependence measure is by no means an ideal model. We suggest a large class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002638723
The unprecedented fiscal and monetary policy responses during the COVID-19 crisis have increased uncertainty about inflation. During crises periods, the strength of the transmission of inflation uncertainty shocks from one country to another tends to intensify. This paper examines empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078814
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