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There is a considerable academic literature on the relationship between Central Bank independence and inflation but the … issue of Central Bank accountability and its effect of inflation performance has received very little attention. This paper … inflation performance. This follows because, increased uncertainty will cause the public to raise their average inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064062
relationship between uncertainty of inflation persistence and optimal monetary policy and discusses the consequences of the recent … Blanchard proposal to implement a higher inflation target in the light of parameter uncertainty. Furthermore, it provides …-orthogonal parameter uncertainty. -- inflation persistence ; parameter uncertainty ; inflation target ; dynamic programming …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965025
We analyse the interaction between private agents? uncertainty about inflation target and the central bank's data … uncertainty. In our model, private agents update their perceived inflation target and the central bank estimates unobservable … economic shocks as well as the perceived inflation target. Under those two uncertainties, the learning process of both private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991139
This paper investigates the macroeconomic risks associated with undesirably low inflation using a medium-sized New … Keynesian model. We consider different causes of persistently low inflation, including a downward shift in long-run inflation … persistently low inflation depend crucially on its underlying cause, as well as on the extent to which monetary policy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210398
It is well known that the canonical New Keynesian model cannot produce inflation inertia observed in real data. The … purpose of this research is to investigate expectation formation process as a potential source of inflation inertia. We …-looking behavior of price-setters, but from the expectation formation process of the private agents. In this sense, the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014208104
relationship between uncertainty of inflation persistence and optimal monetary policy and discusses the consequences of the recent … Blanchard proposal to implement a higher inflation target in the light of parameter uncertainty. Furthermore, it provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142495
model averaging in policy design. Interestingly, a simple difference rule with the same coefficients on inflation and output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392194
While central banks cannot provide complete foresight with respect to their future policy actions, it is in the interests of both central banks and market participants that central banks be transparent about their reaction functions and how they may evolve in response to economic developments,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011747734
uncertainty of inflation and GDP growth forecasts into an otherwise standard New Keynesian model. We show that certainty … react significantly to inflation forecast uncertainty by reducing their policy rates in times of higher inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512077
in their inflation projections. We compare the effects of point and density projections in a learning …-to-forecast laboratory experiment where participants' aggregated expectations about one- and two-period-ahead inflation influence … macroeconomic dynamics. Precise point projections are more effective at managing inflation expectations. Point projections reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842567