Risk analysis of production system, while the actual and appropriate data is not available, will cause wrong system parameters prediction and wrong decision making. In uncertainty condition, there are no appropriate measures for decision making. In epistemic uncertainty, we are confronted by the...

Projects tend to exceed planned timelines and budgets. One reason may be that potential project risks are insufficiently reflected in anticipations of project success. Furthermore, project managers' overconfidence may lead them to assess risk in a biased manner. The present study examines how...

Reports show that it is necessary to control greenhouse gas emissions from the supply chain perspective. Numerous authors have already started quantifying the impacts of emission trading on supply chain performance in terms of cost and emissions. However, rare effort is made to conceptualize...

This paper deals with multi-period project portfolio selection problem. In this problem, the available budget is invested on the best portfolio of projects in each period such that the net profit is maximized. We also consider more realistic assumptions to cover wider range of applications than...

The purpose of this research was to study the recognition, application and quantification of the risks associated in managing projects. In this research, the management of risks in an oil and gas project is studied and implemented within a case company in Oman. In this study, at first, the...

In order to analyse risks and to choose from different decision-making strategies simulation models are often applied in several areas of animal breeding. We developed an improved Monte Carlo model for analysing laying hen breeding combined with Bayes’ statistics. On the basis of data from a...

The success of the agricultural systems is affected by several social, cultural and economical variables, which can restrict or nurture the development of the agribusiness. In this context, agricultural managers search for ways to improve production efficiency. This effort comprises the...

xv, 178 p. : ill. A print copy of this title is available through the UO Libraries under the call number: KNIGHT HM1101 .D54 2007

With perpetual strains on resources and traffic increasing at a steady rate, transport agencies need to evaluate the road network and make informed decisions to determine which roads have the greatest risk of adverse impacts and therefore identify the roads that have the greatest case for...

Für produzierende Unternehmen wird es zunehmend wichtig, auch die operativen Risiken besser zu bewerten. Daher werden Methoden benötigt, mit denen diese Risiken identifiziert und bewertet werden können. Im Rahmen der vorliegenden Arbeit wurden entsprechende Methoden entwickelt. Dabei geht es...