The compromise effect - a tendency to choose options close to the “middle” of a choice - has been shown to confound measurement of preferences. In an experiment with 550 participants, we study risk preferences elicited with Multiple Price Lists. Following prior work, we manipulate the...

Evidence on loss aversion and the endowment effect suggests that people evaluate outcomes with respect to a reference point. Yet little is known about what determines reference points. We conduct two experiments that show that reference points are determined by expectations. In the first...

This paper studies which models of risk preference can best describe individual choices. We perform model selection using cross validation techniques that are common in machine learning. We compare the models of expected utility, disappointment aversion, rank dependent utility, stochastic...

Ecosystem resilience, i.e. an ecosystem's ability to maintain its basic functions and controls under disturbances, is often interpreted as insurance: by decreasing the probability of future drops in the provision of ecosystem services, resilience insures risk-averse ecosystem users against...