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We analyze how the presence of financial markets effects the optimal exercise of real options for a risk averse agent. In this process we examine the role of the minimal martingale measure and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Using value-matching and smooth-pasting conditions, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850828
If agents in workhorse business cycle models with financial frictions are allowed to index contracts to observable aggregates, they share aggregate financial risk (almost) perfectly. Thus, the borrowing-constrained capital holders' wealth share does not collapse following adverse shocks and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932719
We argue the earnings announcement premium is a measure of firm-specific uncertainty aversion. Our stylized model shows … earnings announcements, as pure news events, are priced only if investors are uncertainty averse; further, the earnings … announcement return is negatively correlated to future investment only if there is time-varying uncertainty. Consistent with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848502
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surge in the stock market would be self-correcting. Recent papers have discussed the role of "uncertainty" and its … measurement in influencing economic decisions. They attempt to measure uncertainty by indexes of volatility of the stock market …, GDP, forecaster disagreement, mentions of uncertainty in news media, and the dispersion of productivity shocks to firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543578
Autonomous demand shock affects consumption spending. Variation in consumption spending contributes to the volatility in aggregate demand. As the investor is risk averse, volatility of aggregate demand reduces investment. Government injects monetary noise to reduce the volatility in aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014158665
The term “equity premium puzzle” was coined in 1985 by economists Rajnish Mehra and Edward C. Prescott. The equity premium puzzle in considered one of the most significant questions in finance. A number of papers have explored the fundamental questions of why the premium exists and has not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906021
Real option valuation has traditionally been concerned with investment under project value uncertainty while assuming … uncertainty in the investment or a hedging asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975616
is comparable to numeric models used in policy advising. Uncertainty surrounding climate change remains large. The closed …-form expressions of welfare loss from shocks and epistemological uncertainty identify the interaction of (intertemporal) risk attitude …, distributional moments, and the climatic shadow values. Welfare gains from reducing uncertainty about temperature feedbacks are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305430