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This paper uses the information contained in the joint dynamics of government's debt maturity choices and interest rate … borrowing featuring endogenous debt maturity, risk averse lenders and self-fulfilling rollover crises á la Cole and Kehoe (2000 …-fulfilling defaults. These two sources of default risk have contrasting implications for the debt maturity choices of the government …
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Risk aversion and uncertainty are often both at play in market price determination, but it is empirically challenging to disentangle one from the other. In this paper we set up a theoretical model particularly suited for opaque over-the-counter markets that is shown to be empirically tractable....
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