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The concept of second-order risk operationalizes the estimation risk in portfolio construction induced by model uncertainty. We study its contribution to the realized volatility of recently developed risk parity strategies. For each strategy, we derive closed-form solutions for the second-order...
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We study the intra-horizon value at risk (iVaR) in a general jump diffusion setup and propose a new model of asset returns called displaced mixed-exponential model, which can arbitrarily closely approximate finite-activity jump-diffusions and completely monotone Levy processes. We derive...
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Risk and return play a central role in financial theory. Return is easily measurable and is a percentage number indicating by how much the value of an investment or asset has changed from the previous period. But how should risk be measured? Over longer holding periods, return generation is...
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We use BERT, an AI-based algorithm for language understanding, to decipher regulatory climate-risk disclosures and measure their impact on the credit default swap (CDS) market. Risk disclosures can either increase or decrease credit spreads, depending on whether disclosure reveals new risks or...
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The severity of extreme weather events is increasing due to climate change, giving rise to physical climate risk. However, physical climate risk is not only driven by the severity of individual hazards, but also by the interdependence of those hazards. This paper establishes bounds for the...
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