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Since 2009, stock markets have resided in a long bull market regime. Passive investment strategies have succeeded during this low-volatility growth period. From 2018 on, however, there was a transition into a more volatile market environment interspersed by corrections increasing in amplitude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419688
The aim of the presented study was to assess the quality of VaR forecasts in various states of the economic situation … movements. While in the pre-crisis period the results were satisfactory, in the period of crisis VaR forecasts were too often …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302139
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191011
for optimizing Value-at-Risk (VaR) and daily capital charges, based on choosing wisely from: (1) conditional, stochastic … taking at the expense of providing accurate measures and forecasts of risk and VaR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014210046
This article contributes to the quantification of systemic risk within the Moroccan banking system, focusing on listed banks. We utilize indicators derived from Tail Value at Risk and expectiles risk measures, as introduced by El qalli and Said (2013) (El Qalli & Said, 2023), to measure the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505870
This paper proposes a set of models which can be used to estimate the market risk for a portfolio of crypto-currencies, and simultaneously to estimate also their credit risk using the Zero Price Probability (ZPP) model by Fantazzini et al (2008), which is a methodology to compute the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863029
The papers in this special issue of Mathematics and Computers in Simulation are substantially revised versions of the papers that were presented at the 2011 Madrid International Conference on “Risk Modelling and Management” (RMM2011). The papers cover the following topics: currency hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778723
We propose a methodology that can efficiently measure the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of large portfolios with time … dynamic factor models literature. We find that the proposed methodology performs well relative to widely used VaR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010703262
extreme value theory (EVT) to propose a multivariate estimation procedure for value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES … distribution and subsequently the one-day forecasted VaR and ES. We examine the fi nite sample properties of our method and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100621
In this study we consider the risk estimation as a stochastic process based on the Sample Quantile Process (SQP) - which is a generalization of the Value-at-Risk calculated on a rolling sample. Using SQP's, we are able to show and quantify the pro-cyclicality of the current way financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919289