Showing 1 - 10 of 34,079
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581927
only its applicability to arbitrary continuous distributions but also the evaluation of the forecast accuracy in specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115624
forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other approaches. In simulation experiments and an empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431370
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008660179
This study investigates the simplicity and adequacy of tail-based risk measures-valueat-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES)-when applied to tail targeting of the extreme value (EV) model. We implement Lévy-VaR and ES risk measures as full density-based alternatives to the generalized Pareto...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547241
We study a class of backtests for forecast distributions in which the test statistic is a spectral transformation that … novel variants as well. In an empirical application, we backtest forecast distributions for the overnight P&L of ten bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927115
Using non-parametric and parametric models, we show that the bivariate distribution of an Asian portfolio is not stable along all the period under study. We suggest several dynamic models to compute two market risk measures, the Value at Risk and the Expected Shortfall: the RiskMetrics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142316
Given the increasing interest in cryptocurrencies shown by investors and researchers, and the importance of the potential loss scenarios resulting from investment/trading activities, this research provides market operators with a dynamic overview on the short-term portfolio tail risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012542685
In this note it is argued that the estimation error in Value-at-Risk predictors gives rise to underestimation of portfolio risk. We propose a simple correction and end in an empirical illustration that it is economically relevant
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155483
In this study we consider the risk estimation as a stochastic process based on the Sample Quantile Process (SQP) - which is a generalization of the Value-at-Risk calculated on a rolling sample. Using SQP's, we are able to show and quantify the pro-cyclicality of the current way financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919289