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We present a stochastic simulation model for estimating forward-looking corporate probability of default and loss given default. We formulate the model in a discrete time frame, apply capital-budgeting techniques to define the relationships that identify the default condition, and solve the...
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A practically oriented, top-down approach to assessing the quality of EL by backtesting with a properly defined risk … measure is introduced. In a first step, the concept of risk expenses ("Cost of Risk") has to be extended beyond the classical … provisioning view, toward a more adequate capital consumption approach ("Impact of Risk"). On this basis, the difference between …
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The aggregation of individual risks into total risk using a weighting variable multiplied by two ratio variables … representing incidence and intensity is an important task for risk professionals. For example, expected loss (EL) of a loan is the …
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