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General risk functions are becoming very important in finance and insurance. Many risk functions are interpreted as initial capital requirements that a manager must add and invest in a risk-free security in order to protect his clients wealth. Nevertheless, until now it has not been proved that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196570
We propose new Unconditional, Independence and Conditional Coverage VaR-forecast backtests for the case of annuity pricing under a Bayesian framework that significantly minimise the direct and indirect effects of $p$-hacking or other biased outcomes in decision-making, in general. As a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232782
Quite recently, a great interest has been devoted to time-consistency of risk measures in its different formulations (see Delbaen, Follmer and Penner, Bion-Nadal, Delbaen et al., Laeven and Stadje, among many others). However, almost all the papers address to coherent or convex risk measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922708
Pareto optimal allocations and optimal risk sharing for coherent or convex risk measures as well as for insurance prices have been studied widely in the literature. In particular, Pareto optimal allocations have been characterized by applying inf-convolution of risk measures and convex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060083
Historical VaR, CVaR and ES (Expected Shortfall) to LIQUIDATION Software is a model characterized by its straightforwardness, allowing regulators measure risk using a standard database of primitive factors and portfolio positions only, leaving little error margin in comparing market risk for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003836
We study a concept of dynamic leverage which is a risk measure generalizing traditional value at risk type measures. This measure is suited for hedge funds and can be applied to quantify risk in a fund of hedge funds. Dynamic leverage depends on the level of fund volatility, time horizon and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938641
Risk transfer is a key risk and capital management tool for insurance companies. Transferring risk between insurers is used to mitigate risk and manage capital re- quirements. We investigate risk transfer in the context of a network environment of insurers and consider capital costs and capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270812
Robustness of risk measures to changes in underlying loss distributions (distributional uncertainty) is of crucial importance when making well-informed risk management decisions. In this paper, we quantify for any given distortion risk measure its robustness to distributional uncertainty by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825260
We test the naive model to forecast ex-ante Value-at-Risk (VaR) using a shrinkage estimator between realized volatility estimated on past return time series, and implied volatility quoted on the market. Implied volatility is often indicated as the operators expectation about future risk, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965832
As observed in the financial crisis, CDS spreads tend to increase simutaneously as a reaction to common shocks. Focusing on the spillover effects triggered by extreme events, we propose a credit risk analysis tool by applying credit default swap spread returns to the concept of 4CoVaR suggested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354176