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In this paper, we introduce a class of multivariate Erlang mixtures and present its desirable properties. We show that a multivariate Erlang mixture could be an ideal multivariate parametric model for insurance modeling, especially when modeling dependence is a concern. When multivariate losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037549
Energy markets are strategic to governments and economic development. Several commodities compete as substitutable energy sources and energy diversifiers. Such competition reduces the energy vulnerability of countries as well as portfolios' risk exposure. Vulnerability results mainly from price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913058
We consider the skewed-T distribution defined as a location-scale normal mixture. Analytical formulas for its value-at-risk and average value-at-risk are derived. High-accuracy approximations are developed and numerically tested
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134868
In this paper, we provide a stable limit theorem for the asymptotic distribution of the sample average value-at-risk when the distribution of the underlying random variable X describing portfolio returns is heavy-tailed. We illustrate the convergence rate in the limit theorem assuming that X has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134876
The class of alpha-stable distributions is an attractive probabilistic model of asset returns distribution in the field of finance. When dealing with real issues, such as optimal portfolio selection, it is important that we can compute the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) accurately. CVaR is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134937
Within the context of risk integration, we introduce in risk measurement stochastic holding period (SHP) models. This is done in order to obtain a 'liquidity-adjusted risk measure' characterized by the absence of a fixed time horizon. The underlying assumption is that - due to changes on market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138014
We propose and backtest a multivariate Value-at-Risk model for financial returns based on Tukey's g-and-h distribution. This distributional assumption is especially useful if (conditional) asymmetries as well as heavy tails have to be considered and fast random sampling is of importance. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138164
Considerable literature has been devoted to developing statistical inferential results for risk measures, especially for those that are of the form of L-functionals. However, practical and theoretical considerations have highlighted quite a number of risk measures that are of the form of ratios,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124424
This paper examines international equity market co-movements using time-varying copulae. We examine distributions from the class of Symmetric Generalized Hyperbolic (SGH) distributions for modelling univariate marginals of equity index returns. We show based on the goodness-of-fit testing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098515
Financial returns typically display heavy tails and some skewness, and conditional variance models with these features often outperform more limited models. The difference in performance may be especially important in estimating quantities that depend on tail features, including risk measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154760