We present an analytical framework for the forward-looking measurement of extreme market risk. In contrast to standard techniques relying on past return data, we propose to extract Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall under the physical measure from current option prices. Our empirical evidence...

The paper is organized in six chapters. For all interested readers chapter two contains a detailed explanation of the ABRM technique with numerical illustrations. For academic researchers in particular, chapter three provides a detailed discussion of the research methodology. For the corporate...

In the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) the β-parameter is related to the risk level of an asset and takes on values ranging around 1. I argue that β is also a function of the monetary risks the asset is exposed to, hence monetary risk can be estimated from betas. On the other hand, if we...

A decision framework for business water-risk response is proposed that considers financial instruments and supply management strategies. Based on available and emergent programmes, companies in the agricultural, commodities, and energy sectors may choose to hedge against financial risks by...

Measuring value creation by comparing the RAROC of an exposure (the return on risk capital) with a single institution-wide hurdle rate is inconsistent with the standard theory of financial valuation. We use asset pricing theory to determine the appropriate hurdle rate for such a RAROC...

The aim of this work is to introduce an innovative methodology for performing risk attribution within a multifactor risk framework. We applied this analysis to the assessment of systemic, climate, and geopolitical risks relative to a representative sample of Eurozone banks between 2011 and 2022....

We scrutinize the use of value at risk as traders' limit in banks. Thereby, we compare a bank with uninformed traders dealing on a perfect capital market, with a bank in which traders receive a noisy signal about the future price of the stock they are dealing in. Additionally, they are able to...

Estimation or mis-specification errors in the portfolio loss distribution can have a considerable impact on risk measures. This paper investigates the sensitivity of tail-related risk measures including the Value-at-Risk, expected shortfall and the expectile-quantile transformation level in an...

Value-at-Risk bounds for aggregated risks have been derived in the literature in settings where besides the marginal distributions of the individual risk factors one-sided bounds for the joint distribution respectively the copula of the risks are available. In applications it turns out that...

Let us suppose that presently unimagined is possible, that “the unexpected may happen” (Marshall, 1920, p. 347). Then “human decisions affecting the future, whether personal, political or economic, cannot depend on strict mathematical expectation since the basis for making such...