We present an analytical framework for the forward-looking measurement of extreme market risk. In contrast to standard techniques relying on past return data, we propose to extract Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall under the physical measure from current option prices. Our empirical evidence...

In the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) the β-parameter is related to the risk level of an asset and takes on values ranging around 1. I argue that β is also a function of the monetary risks the asset is exposed to, hence monetary risk can be estimated from betas. On the other hand, if we...

The paper is organized in six chapters. For all interested readers chapter two contains a detailed explanation of the ABRM technique with numerical illustrations. For academic researchers in particular, chapter three provides a detailed discussion of the research methodology. For the corporate...

A decision framework for business water-risk response is proposed that considers financial instruments and supply management strategies. Based on available and emergent programmes, companies in the agricultural, commodities, and energy sectors may choose to hedge against financial risks by...

Measuring value creation by comparing the RAROC of an exposure (the return on risk capital) with a single institution-wide hurdle rate is inconsistent with the standard theory of financial valuation. We use asset pricing theory to determine the appropriate hurdle rate for such a RAROC...

The aim of this work is to introduce an innovative methodology for performing risk attribution within a multifactor risk framework. We applied this analysis to the assessment of systemic, climate, and geopolitical risks relative to a representative sample of Eurozone banks between 2011 and 2022....

Using asset prices I estimate the marginal value of capital in a dynamic stochastic economy under general assumptions about technology and preferences. The state-space measure of marginal q relies on the joint measurability of the value function, i.e. firm market value, and its underlying firm...

Asset pricing in its essence is a very controversial topic. Despite numerous research papers criticising traditional approaches, such as linear factor models, practitioners as well as academics repeatedly return to the milestone models such as the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), mainly due...

Discount factors have a long tradition of being computed using capital market inputs for the estimation of systematic risk. They are of increasing importance in financial accounting, including the valuation of goodwill and other intangibles. In view of the volatility of stock market returns and...

Let us suppose that presently unimagined is possible, that “the unexpected may happen” (Marshall, 1920, p. 347). Then “human decisions affecting the future, whether personal, political or economic, cannot depend on strict mathematical expectation since the basis for making such...