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We proposed a method to estimate extreme conditional quantiles by combining quantile GARCH model of Xiao and Koenker (2009) and extreme value theory (EVT) approach. We first estimate the latent volatility process using the information of intermediate quantiles. We then apply EVT to the tail...
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This study investigates the role of probability distribution in forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR). We use the Realized GARCH model and high-frequency data from the cryptocurrency market and show that the role of probability distribution varies across different situations. A skewed-t...
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