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We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
We introduce a new class of momentum strategies, the risk-adjusted time series momentum (RAMOM) strategies, which are based on averages of past futures returns, normalized by their volatility. We test these strategies on a universe of 64 liquid futures contracts and show that RAMOM strategies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293745
In this article the authors attempt to get a better understanding of the cross-section of alternative risk premia using a multi-asset version of the downside risk CAPM. In line with the empirical literature, they find that the cross-section of realized returns is much better explained when using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898606
We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside liquidity (EDL) risks. The cross-section of stock returns reflects a premium if a stock's return (liquidity) is lowest at the same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175486
We discuss risk measures representing the minimum amount of capital a financial institution needs to raise and invest in a pre-specified eligible asset to ensure it is adequately capitalized. Most of the literature has focused on cash-additive risk measures, for which the eligible asset is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258580
We study capital requirements for bounded financial positions defined as the minimum amount of capital to invest in a chosen eligible asset targeting a pre-specified acceptability test. We allow for general acceptance sets and general eligible assets, including defaultable bonds. Since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258584
Monetary risk measures classify a financial position by the minimal amount of external capital that must be added to the position to make it acceptable.We propose a new concept: intrinsic risk measures. The definition via external capital is avoided and only internal resources appear. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011620033
The recent experience from the global financial crisis has raised serious doubts about the accuracy of standard risk measures as a tool to quantify extreme downward risks. Standard risk measures are subject to a “model risk” due to the specification and estimation uncertainty. We propose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119621
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013364913
We examine whether the uncertainty related to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) regulation developments is reflected in asset prices. We proxy the sensitivity of firms to ESG regulation uncertainty by the disparity across the components of their ESG ratings. Firms with high ESG...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486619