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The paper investigates the risky sovereign spreads and the CDS-Bond basis of a country following a fixed exchange rate under a Currency Board Arrangement (CBA). The particular monetary regime affects significantly the mechanics of the bond market and needs a special investigation. We start by...
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According to the Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) condition, interest rate differentials compensate for expected exchange rate changes, equalizing the expected returns from holding assets which only differ in terms of currency denomination. In the previous literature, there are many tests of UIP...
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We provide evidence on the effect of the slope of the yield curve on economic activity through bank lending. Using detailed data on banks' lending activities coupled with term premium shocks identified using high-frequency event study or instrumental variables, we show that a steeper yield curve...
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