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Realized divergence gauges the distinct realized moments associated with time-varying uncertainty and is tradeable with …-free option markets, implied divergence systematically decomposes the price of uncertainty into the contributions of distinct …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507861
. Especially the condition of arbitrage for sub-hedging strategy fills the gap of the theory of arbitrage under model uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987227
We propose a novel one-sector stochastic growth model, where producitivity growth follows a Markov-switching process with two regimes, and where households have generalized recursive smooth ambiguity preferences. The adopted class of preferences permits a three-way separation of risk aversion,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009411457
We examine a production-based asset pricing model with an unobservable mean growth rate ollowing a two-state Markov chain and with an ambiguity averse representative agent. Our model requires a low coefficient of relative risk aversion to produce: (i) a high equity premium and volatile equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066542
We use the Bayesian method introduced by Gallant and McCulloch (2009) to estimate consumption-based asset pricing models featuring smooth ambiguity preferences. We rely on semi-nonparametric estimation of a flexible auxiliary model in our structural estimation. Based on the market and aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780610
crises. This study aimed to build the uncertainty index and control it in the regression analysis model to solve the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500739
This paper develops an optimal trading strategy explicitly linked to an agent's preferences and assessment of the distribution of asset returns. The price of this strategy is a portfolio of implied moments, and its expected excess returns naturally accommodate compensation for higher-order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033715
This study analyzes the relationship of individual risk attitudes and occupational sorting with respect to occupational earnings risk. By using the German Mikrozensus, a precise measure for earnings risk is computed as the occupation-wide standard deviation of wages. Following the procedure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969724
risk-free rate puzzle. Intuitively, the presence of (or an increase in) inflation uncertainty in an economy should … neglecting inflation uncertainty may result in an overestimation of real risk-free rate. We also study jointly the impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139906
Risk aversion and uncertainty are often both at play in market price determination, but it is empirically challenging … aversion and uncertainty inherent to the government bond markets in the euro area between 2007 and 2011. We particularly … uncertainty but raised risk aversion for all countries except Greece in a risk-pooling mechanism: this can therefore weaken the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113603