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, Merton (1974) asserts that default risk is a function of the uncertainty in the asset value process. Information uncertainty …Prior research has documented the role of information uncertainty in the cross-sectional variation in stock returns …. Miller (1977) hypothesizes that if information uncertainty is caused by differences of opinion, prices will reflect only the …
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explain the equity risk premium and the variance risk premium in the U.S. financial markets, and whether they can generate … realistic dynamics of riskneutral and realized volatilities. I provide evidence that the jump risk in volatility of long run … consumption growth is a key component of the equity risk premium and the variance risk premium in financial markets. Moreover, I …
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This Selected Issues paper focuses on the issues of fiscal policy, rebalancing, and growth in New Zealand. The paper discusses that a key policy challenge for New Zealand is to rebalance the economy and reduce external vulnerabilities. It provides model-based estimates of the potential...
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. Instead, we find that two other factors- doubts about the sustainability of disinflation and the existence of a risk premium …
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We estimate a latent factor model that decomposes international stock returns into global, country-, and industry-specific shocks and allows for stock-specific exposures to these shocks. We find that across stocks there is substantial dispersion in these exposures, which is partly explained by...
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