Lin, Hai; Tao, Xinyuan; Wang, Junbo; Wu, Chunchi - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 13 (2020) 2/20, pp. 1-34
Using an aggregate credit spread index, we find that it has substantial predictive power for corporate bond returns over short and long horizons. The return predictability is economically and statistically significant and robust to various controls. The credit spread index and its components...