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Institutional funds have concentrated ownership by a few institutional investors, infrequent outflows and essentially no leverage. Yet using unique granular data on the bond holdings of institutional funds, we show that their trading behavior is strongly procyclical: they actively move into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250652
We use unique institutional securities holdings data to examine the trading behaviour of delegated institutional capital and its impact on bond risk premia. We show that institutional fund managers trade strongly procyclically: they actively move into higher yielding, longer duration and lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012485994
Momentum stocks are exposed to aggregate volatility risk. This paper estimates an EGARCH model of market volatility to … introduce a new volatility risk factor that prices itself, and thereby becomes a candidate risk factor for analyzing stock … market anomalies such as momentum. Winners have negative loadings on this new volatility factor, whereas losers have positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940192
) The Volatility Puzzle. We offer resolutions of those objections within the rational finance. We do not claim that those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012201310
, including market-based estimation of stochastic volatility models, the fine structure of equity-index option dynamics, leverage … and feedback effects in multifactor Wishart stochastic volatility for option pricing, option pricing with non …-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility, stock return and cash flow predictability: the role of volatility risk, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465152
volatility and the transitory component of market volatility. Bullish sentiment leads to higher market excess return while … premia of the permanent and transitory components of sentiment-affected volatility in the framework of ICAPM. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010380934
This paper investigates the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability specified on two global financial … volatility forecasting measures on future stock returns in four different periods (bear and bull markets). First we find clear … and robust empirical evidence that the implied idiosyncratic volatility is the best stock return predictor for every sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999962
This paper introduces a new out-of-sample forecasting methodology for monthly market returns using the variance risk premium (VRP) that is both statistically and economically significant. This methodology is motivated by the `beta representation,' which implies that the market risk premium is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902980
consistent with an asset pricing model allowing for both time-varying jump intensity and stochastic volatility of volatility to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904660