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We investigate interconnectedness and the contagion effect of default risk in Asian sovereign CDS markets since the global financial crisis. Using dynamic conditional correlation analysis, we find that there are significant co-movements in Asian sovereign CDS markets; that such co-movements tend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996343
Most long-run empirical research on the historical risk premium has focused on the experience of the United States. However, the United States has been a remarkably successful economy, making it unlikely that the US risk premium is representative. Until recently, evidence on the risk premium in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257278
I use ADRs to examine if the equity markets of Argentina, Chile, and Mexico have become internationally integrated in the post-liberalization period and, if not, whether direct and/or indirect barriers are the cause of segmentation. In addition, I assess the evolution of the level of integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069926
The paper analyses the drivers of sovereign risk for 31 advanced and emerging economies during the European sovereign debt crisis. It shows that a deterioration in countries' fundamentals and fundamentals contagion – a sharp rise in the sensitivity of financial markets to fundamentals – are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061742
There is a growing consensus that part of the surge in government bond spreads during the EMU debt crisis can be explained by wake-up-call contagion. Evidence on pure contagion however is very mixed and there are no insights into the dynamics of these effects. As a contribution to fill this gap,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239744
A growing body of literature analyses the impact of news on companies' equity prices. We add to this literature by showing that the transmission of news to prices goes through a combination of changing earnings expectations and risk premia. First, we disentangle sectoral equity prices into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432326
with asymmetric multivariate general autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic in mean (MGARCH(1,1)-M) structure is able …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244929
In this paper we test whether the co-movement of sovereign CDS premia increased significantly after the Greek debt crisis started in October 2009. We perform a bivariate test for contagion that is based on an approach proposed by Forbes and Rigobon (2002). Our sample consists of daily data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009161447
This paper studies external sovereign bonds as an asset class. We compile a new database of 220,000 monthly prices of foreign-currency government bonds traded in London and New York between 1815 (the Battle of Waterloo) and 2016, covering 91 countries. Our main insight is that, as in equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891955
This article aims to extend evaluation of the classic multifactor model of Carhart (1997) for the case of global equity indices and to expand analysis performed in Sakowski et. al. (2015). Our intention is to test several modifications of these models to take into account different dynamics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539896