Showing 1 - 10 of 1,895
Not necessarily. I provide evidence that advanced countries' equity premium and consumption growth differ significantly from those of emerging countries. I then estimate distinct disaster risk parameters for these two country groups. My Bayesian analysis demonstrates that in some aspects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902819
Rare events (RE) and long-run risks (LRR) are complementary approaches for characterizing macroeconomic variables and understanding asset pricing. We estimate a model with RE and LRR using long-term consumption data for 42 economies, identify these two types of risks simultaneously from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854524
This study examines risk premia in a laboratory market featuring a long-lived asset. The research is enabled by prevention of the persistent bubbles and crashes endemic to laboratory markets utilizing long-lived assets. Positive, statistically significant risk premia are reported, in support of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027527
This paper studies how foreign investors' concerns about model misspecification affect sovereign bond spreads. We develop a general equilibrium model of sovereign debt with endogenous default wherein investors fear that the probability model of the underlying state of the borrowing economy is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009634180
In this paper, another factor that affects equity risk premium is derived from a simple classical monetary model, which basically adds back labor-leisure to a simple consumption-only consumption-based asset pricing model. If every present/future good is traded at time t=0, just as in traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996101
This paper exploits information from the variance-ratios of macroeconomic variables to infer about the short and long-run components of dividend risk and inflation risk. While labor rigidity shifts dividend risk towards the short horizon, it also reveals - by means of labor-share variation - the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969140
We empirically show across several broad asset classes that sectoral wealth shares do not positively correlate with their risk premia---a first-order prediction of canonical equilibrium models. We then analyze the roles mean-variance and hedging demand play in accounting for sectoral shifts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957172
We study the Epstein-Zin model with recursive utility. Recognizing that recursive preferences implies that the underlying model is not Markovian, we use methods not depending upon the Markov property to solve the model. We work with the returns directly, which we approximate by Taylor series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024734
The US equity risk premium is approximated with a mean unhedged equity return. I utilize out-of-the-money put options to obtain a hedged equity return, which allows me to quantify the disaster risk premium as the difference between the means of unhedged and hedged equity returns. I demonstrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902307
Long-run risk models, a cornerstone in the macro-finance literature for their ability to capture key asset price phenomena, are known to entail implausibly high levels of timing and risk premia. Our paper resolves this puzzle by considering consumption of durable goods in addition to that of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888849