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This article aims to extend evaluation of the classic multifactor model of Carhart (1997) for the case of global equity indices and to expand analysis performed in Sakowski et. al. (2015). Our intention is to test several modifications of these models to take into account different dynamics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539896
We document a strong positive cross-sectional relation between corporate bond yield spreads and bond return volatilities. As corporate bond prices are generally attributable to both credit risk and illiquidity as discussed in Huang and Huang (2012), we apply a decomposition methodology to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772268
While CBOE's VIX index is widely acknowledged as a broad-based investor “fear gauge” for its strong inverse relationship with major equity indexes, one cannot necessarily expect it to translate to the level of future turbulence or investor risk aversion in fixed-income markets. Indeed,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750617
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
We study the asset pricing implications of being able to optimally early exercise a plain-vanilla put option, contrasting the expected returns of equivalent American and European put options. Standard pricing models with stochastic volatility and asset-value jumps suggest the expected return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861702
A recent successful literature derives non-parametric time-varying lower bounds on the risk premia of asset returns in real time. The implicit restriction is that equilibrium risk premia of assets positively correlated with the market must be strictly positive. Such strong requirement is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846406
Using the model-independent approaches of Trolle and Schwartz (2008) and Kozhan et al (2013), we estimate the Variance Risk Premium and Skew Risk Premium for oil market. After estimation, the contribution of the paper is twofold. First, we try to figure out which variables can describe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920696
Using the model-free methodology proposed in the literature, variance and skew swaps are extracted from currency options for several foreign exchange rates. Moreover, these variables are decomposed into semivariance and semiskew swaps, which are conditional to the evolution of the foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929214
Using hand-collected data of commodity futures contracts going back to 1877, we replicate in the pre-sample history the well-documented cross-sectional commodity factor premia of momentum, value and basis. All three premia remain significantly positive in the additional 80-plus years of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892589
I show that volatility risk of the dollar factor --- an equally weighted basket of developed U.S. dollar exchange rates --- carries a significant risk premium and that it is priced in the cross-section of currency volatility excess returns. The dollar factor volatility risk premium is negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920214