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futures and options to hedge their exposure to commodity price and volatility risk; speculators provide liquidity and ask for …
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In this paper we propose a stochastic volatility model for crude oil markets that has the particularity to feature a … OVX volatility data. The model characterizes two states: a normal state with low volatility and negative variance premium … and acrisis state with high volatility and positive variance risk premium. The estimated states are consistent with GDP …
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This paper provides an analysis of the link between the global market for crude oil and oil futures risk premium at the aggregate level. It off ers empirical evidence on whether the compensation for risk required by the speculators depends on the type of the structural shock of interest....
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This paper studies how volatility affects the risk premium in crude oil futures through a discrete-time term structure … model with long-run and short-run GARCH-type volatility components. Estimated using WTI crude oil futures data from January … document a significant positive relation between volatility and futures risk premia before May 2005, but a significant negative …
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