Political uncertainty drives markets. Among macroeconomic forces, it is one of the fewfactors that systematically affect most assets - hence it qualifies as a state variable in the senseof the ICAPM and should carry a risk premium. We employ static and conditional factormodels using data in...

Are yields of long-maturity bonds distorted by demand pressure of clientele investors, regulatory effects, or default, flight-to-safety or liquidity premiums? Using data on German nominal bonds between 2005 and 2015, we study the differential pricing and liquidity of short and long maturity...

We propose an easy to implement yield curve extrapolation method to determine long-term interest rates suitable for regulatory valuation. We empirically evaluate this approach for the German nominal bond market, by estimating the model on bonds with maturities up to 20 years and assessing the...

Studies of time-varying government bond risk premia that do not account for corresponding time variation in bond risk are incomplete. This paper provides evidence that (1) bond risk premia are solely compensation for bond risk, as no-arbitrage theory predicts, (2) both bond return volatility and...

There is a growing consensus that part of the surge in government bond spreads during the EMU debt crisis can be explained by wake-up-call contagion. Evidence on pure contagion however is very mixed and there are no insights into the dynamics of these effects. As a contribution to fill this gap,...

The valuation of risky debt is central to theoretical and empirical work in corporate finance. Although much is known on the returns and valuation of bonds, there is hardly a consensus on the risk components of the yield spreads. This article aims to investigate the effect of investor sentiment...

Green bonds have gained prominence in China’s capital market as tools that help to fuel the transition to a climate-resilient economy. Although the issuance volume in the Chinese green bond market has been growing rapidly in recent years, the impact of the green label on bond pricing has not...

Risk premia are significantly elevated during periods of democratization in a cross-country panel of equity data covering 85 countries over 200 years, despite little evidence of a negative effect on either realized or expected GDP and dividends. This result is explained in an asset pricing model...

We study a global panel of green and conventional corporate bonds to assess the borrowing cost advantage at issuance for green bond issuers. We find that, on average, green corporate bonds have a yield spread that is 8 basis points lower relative to conventional bonds. We link this borrowing...

Following the upset of the financial crisis, and especially after the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Governments in advanced economies have provided support to the fi nancial sector to help restoring its normal functioning and to avoid the widening of the meltdown. Banking CDS premia climbed from...