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further improve the other method's forecasting performance. The performance of using BMA to forecast bond excess return is … model in forecasting one-month-ahead yield curve. We apply BMA to forecast the government bond yield change and indicate BMA …
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This paper studies the time-series predictability of currency carry trades, constructed by selecting currencies to be bought or sold against the U.S. dollar, based on forward discounts. Changes in a commodity index, currency volatility and, to a lesser extent, a measure of liquidity predict...
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