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We empirically show across several broad asset classes that sectoral wealth shares do not positively correlate with their risk premia---a first-order prediction of canonical equilibrium models. We then analyze the roles mean-variance and hedging demand play in accounting for sectoral shifts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957172
The US equity risk premium is approximated with a mean unhedged equity return. I utilize out-of-the-money put options to obtain a hedged equity return, which allows me to quantify the disaster risk premium as the difference between the means of unhedged and hedged equity returns. I demonstrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902307
I present a production-based general equilibrium model that jointly prices bond and stock returns. The model produces time-varying correlation between stock and long-term default-free real bond returns that changes in both magnitude and sign. The real term premium is also time-varying and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904335
Long-run risk models, a cornerstone in the macro-finance literature for their ability to capture key asset price phenomena, are known to entail implausibly high levels of timing and risk premia. Our paper resolves this puzzle by considering consumption of durable goods in addition to that of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888849
We develop a simple three-factor consumption-based asset pricing model that includes wage growth as a risk factor, and evaluate whether the model explains six major CAPM anomalies: book-to-market, investment, operating profitability, long-term return reversal, net share issues, and residual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896756
Previous writers have attempted to resolve the equity premium puzzle by employing a utility function that depends on current consumption minus (or relative to) past habit consumption. This paper points out that an individual's current utility may also depend upon how well off in the recent past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855578
Changes in credit supply induce large and frequent variations in households' access to unsecured debt. They generate a novel financial precautionary motive, which compounds the classical motive associated with idiosyncratic income risk, as borrowers accumulate risk-free bonds to hedge against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239541
The neoclassical growth model is extended to include costly intermediated borrowing and lending between households. This is an important extension as substantial resources are used to intermediate the large amount of borrowing and lending between households. In 2007, in the United States, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755708
This paper evaluates the central insight of the Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model (CCAPM) that an asset's expected return is determined by its equilibrium risk to consumption. Rather than measure the risk of a portfolio by the contemporaneous covariance of its return and consumption growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067851
This paper examines households' self-insurance in financial markets when a rare personal disaster, such as disability or long-term unemployment, may occur during working years. Personal disaster risk alters lifetime ex-ante investment choices, even if most workers will not experience a disaster....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012793436