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We develop a new asset pricing theory that bridges two seemingly unrelated anomalies: (1) the negative relationship between dispersion in financial analysts’ earnings forecasts and expected returns and (2) the negative relationship between ex-ante skewness and expected returns. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313088
Many assets derive their value not only from future cash flows but also from their ability to serve as collateral. In this paper, we investigate this collateral value and its impact on asset returns in an infinite-horizon general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents facing collateral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010203684
The equity premium is a key parameter in asset allocation policies. There is a vigorous debate in the literature regarding the actual measurement of the equity premium, its size and the determinants of its variation. This study aims to take stock of this literature by means of a meta-analysis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381035
We study a quantitative DSGE model linking a state of the art asset pricing framework à la Kung and Schmid (2015) with a constraint on leverage as in Gertler and Kiyotaki (2010). We show that a mere increase in the probability of firms being financially constrained leads to an increase in risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756564
Motivated by the problems of the conventional model in rationalizing market data, we derive the equilibrium interest rate and risk premiums using recursive utility in a continuous-time model. We use the stochastic maximum principle to analyze the model. This method uses forward/backward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011800871
The economic theory suggests that expected returns should compensate for the risks undertaken by investors. This implies that investors are rewarded for taking risks while investing in assets with higher risk potentials. Theoretically, if they hold their investments, they receive higher returns,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868343
We show that in a general equilibrium model with heterogeneity in risk aversion or belief, shifting wealth from an agent who holds comparatively fewer stocks to one who holds more reduces the equity premium. Since empirically the rich hold more stocks than do the poor, inequality should predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856748
Do parameter uncertainties regarding different risk factors have symmetric effects on asset prices? In a general equilibrium setting where uncertainties regarding consumption and portfolio returns are of concern to investors but all the structural parameters of consumption and dividend growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128507
We examine the effects of estimation risk and Bayesian learning on equilibrium asset prices when there is uncertainty about both the first and second moments of consumption and dividend growth rates. For the 1891-2007 period, our model generates a sizable average annual equity premium,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130393
We examine the effects of parameter uncertainty and Bayesian learning on equilibrium asset prices when all the structural parameters of the aggregate consumption and dividend growth rate processes are unknown. With realistic calibration of a parsimonious set of prior parameters, the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150931