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Empirical evidence for the price-dividend ratio to be a predictor of the equity premium is weak. We argue that changes in the economic conditions and market composition lead to a time-varying relationship between prices, dividends and the equity premium. Exploiting the information in the rolling...
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In a risk-based portfolio, there is no explicit control for the performance per unit of risk taken. We propose a framework to evaluate the balance between risk and performance at both the portfolio and component level, and to tilt the risk-based portfolio weights towards a state in which the...
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In the Web Appendix to the paper by Ardia et al. (2017), we provide additional results regarding the implementation and the performance when the PRCC is computed with downside-risk measures. We further test the sensitivity to the value of the bound on the tracking error constraint and discuss...
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