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, our credit and illiquidity proxies can explain almost three quarters of the yield spread-bond volatility relation with …-bond volatility relation is important even after controlling for equity volatility. The relation between yield spreads and … investment-grade sub-sample, consistent with credit risk being relatively more important for understanding the yield spread-volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772268
In contrast to earlier decades, since the early 2000s, the average idiosyncratic volatility of stocks has fallen back … to its pre-1990s level. Here, we examine whether decreasing volatility still helps to explain the cross … average bond returns and lag idiosyncratic volatility are positively associated. The average returns on bonds with high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921040
risk. This paper analyzes the relevance of inflation volatility risk as an additional factor predicting the cross …-section of corporate bond returns. I find a negative and significant inflation volatility risk premium (IVRP) obtained from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215501
We derive expected bond return equations for various structural credit valuation models with alternative stochastic processes and boundary conditions for default given in Merton [1974], Merton [1976], Black and Cox [1976], Heston [1993], Longstaff and Schwartz [1995], and Collin-Dufresne and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900804
This article studies the economic factors behind corporate default risk premia in Europe during the period 2006–2010. We employ information embedded in Credit Default Swap (CDS) contracts to quantify expected excess returns from the underlying bonds in market-wide default circumstances. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976109
Using implied-CDS risk premium measures, we find that these variables have higher explanatory power for cross-sectional bond returns than the traditional default spread and ratings. The positive effect of the credit risk premium (CRP) factor on expected returns is pervasive, stronger for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232600
This research investigates the impact of interest rate volatility upon corporate bond yield spreads. We first consider … the impact of interest rate volatility upon noncallable bond spreads. Because greater interest rate volatility likely … increases the volatility of the firm's debt, we hypothesize the relation will be positive. Given that we do find a positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058364
of the volatility spread to skewness. We measure skewness from option prices and test these predictions. We find that … conditioning on skewness increases the predictive power of the volatility spread and that coefficient estimates accord with theory … the term structure of option-implied volatility, skewness and kurtosis and find that time-dependence in returns has a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852916
This paper shows that the risk-bearing capacity of U.S. securities brokers and dealers is a strong determinant of risk premia in commodity markets. Commodity derivatives are the principal instrument used by producers and consumers of commodities to hedge against commodity price risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947918
straddles; second, we estimate the PVR in a Heston (1993) stochastic-volatility model. In both cases, the estimation is … more negative and its term structure is steeper when volatility is high. These findings are inconsistent with calibrations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303715