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This paper investigates the market pricing of subprime mortgage risk on the basis of data for the ABX.HE family of indices, which have become a key barometer of mortgage market conditions during the recent financial crisis. After an introduction into ABX index mechanics and a discussion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003866554
We introduce the class of linear-rational term structure models in which the state price density is modeled such that bond prices become linear-rational functions of the factors. This class is highly tractable with several distinct advantages: i) ensures nonnegative interest rates, ii) easily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338764
We explore the effects of fat tails on the equilibrium implications of the long run risks model of asset pricing by introducing innovations with dampened power law to consumption and dividends growth processes. We estimate the structural parameters of the proposed model by maximum likelihood. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122690
We study a consumption-based asset pricing model with incomplete information and a- stable shocks. Incomplete information leads to a non-Gaussian filtering problem. Bayesian updating generates fluctuating confidence in the agents' estimate of the persistent component of the dividends' growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890005
We solve a dynamic general equilibrium model with generalized disappointment aversion preferences and continuous state endowment dynamics. We apply the framework to the term structure of interest rates and show that the model generates an upward sloping term structure of nominal interest rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005999
We infer conditional swap rate moments model independently from swaption cubes. Conditional volatility and skewness exhibit systematic variation across swap maturities and option expiries (conditional kurtosis less so), with conditional skewness sometimes changing sign. Conditional skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008774
We solve a dynamic equilibrium model with generalized disappointment aversion preferences and continuous state endowment dynamics. We apply the framework to the term structure of interest rates and show that the model generates an upward sloping term structure of nominal interest rates, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855459
This study empirically examine the impact of market conditions on credit spreads as motivated by recently developed structural credit risk models. Using credit default swap (CDS) spreads, we find that, in the time series, average credit spreads are decreasing in GDP growth rate, but increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989275
We propose a class of time-separable and state-dependent preferences for asset pricing. In conjunction with the affine structure of the joint dynamics of state variables, aggregate consumption and dividend, an equilibrium model with these preferences yields closed-form solutions of bonds and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306448
The ABX family of indices has become a key barometer of subprime mortgage market conditions during the recent financial crisis. Simple regression analysis illustrates the relationship between observed index returns and proxies of default risk, interest rates, market liquidity and risk appetite....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095307