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spreads as it modifies both the level and shape of the curves. When a bond portfolio is considered, the presence of dependence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101883
We document a strong positive cross-sectional relation between corporate bond yield spreads and bond return … volatilities. As corporate bond prices are generally attributable to both credit risk and illiquidity as discussed in Huang and …, our credit and illiquidity proxies can explain almost three quarters of the yield spread-bond volatility relation with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772268
I propose a new procedure for extracting probabilities of default from structural credit risk models based on model implied credit spreads (MICS) and implement this approach assuming a barrier option framework nesting the Merton (1974) model of capital structure. MICS are the increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119626
Default risk in equity returns can be measured by structural models of default. In this paper we propose a credit warning signal (CWS) based on the Merton default risk (MDR) model and a Regime-switching default risk (RSDR) model. The RSDR model is a generalization of the MDR model, comprises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021368
This paper extends the baseline Merton (1974) structural default model, which is intended for static debt spreads, to a setting with dynamic debt, where leverage can be ratcheted up as well as written down through pre-specified exogenous policies. We provide a different and novel solution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035022
We develop a methodology to study the linkages between equity and corporate bond risk premia and apply it to a large … panel of corporate bond transaction data. We and that a significant part of the time variation in bond default risk premia … can be explained by equity implied bond risk premium estimates. We compute these estimates using a recent structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244723
This chapter surveys the literature on fixed-income pricing models, including dynamic term-structure models, and interest-rate sensitive, derivative pricing models. Our overview of conceptual approaches highlights the tradeoffs that have emerged between the complexity of the probability model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023851
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001639703
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001646775
This paper analyzes the influence of downside risk on defaultable bond returns. By introducing a defaultable bond … bond excess returns using a portfolio-level analysis and Fama-MacBeth regressions. We find that downside risk is a strong … and robust predictor for future bond returns. In addition, due to the higher proportion of abnormal transactions in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206142