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smoothing spline methodology. The real term structure allows computation of the constant-maturity inflation compensation, which … is compared with the surveyed inflation expectations in order to obtain a rough measure of the inflation risk premium …. The comparison between the inflation compensation and the inflation swap shows that the two variables are closely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110056
We revisit the concept of the cost of hedging inflation risks put forward in Bodie (1976). When doing so, we employ a …-varying compensation for expected and unexpected inflation shocks embedded in the sovereign bond yields of Germany, France, Japan and the … reflection of a low real risk-free rate, low inflation expectations and a low cost for hedging inflation risks. We have not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842461
The purpose of this paper is to study the compensation for inflation risks priced in sovereign bond yields. And we do … so by modelling the time-varying dynamics of asset returns and inflation, and then estimating the cost of hedging … inflation risks from the perspective of a well diversified portfolio. This allows to disentangle the time-varying compensation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012830326
that the relative equity and bond yield values are, to a large extent, driven by inflation volatility. High inflation … benign inflation volatility when the bond yield became higher. Evidence for a long span of US data, and shorter German …, Japanese, and UK data, suggests the recent rise in the equity yield is accompanied by an uptick in inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963922
generally find that deflation terms contributes negatively to such a premium and inflation positively. The magnitudes of the … coefficients associated with deflation tend to be greater, compared to those associated with inflation. This suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165922
This paper estimates Inflation risk premia in the Euro area based on nominal swap yields, inflation swap rates, CPI and … conclude that inflation risk premia is insignificant, where a model including surveys will that it significant. Finally our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156985
government bonds to derive expected inflation rates and the corresponding inflation risk premia, in the euro area and in the … factors and one inflation factor; the model provides substantial information related to expected inflation and inflation risk … market and economic outlook in the United States and by news on inflation in the euro area; this preliminary results can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120560
yields' fluctuations and highlight the roles of a tight monetary policy stance and expectations of lower inflation in … negative inflation slope points to higher odds of a recession within a year. An aggressive removal of policy accommodation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013279282
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are frequently thought of as risk-free real bonds. Using no … informational content of TIPS breakeven inflation, a widely-used proxy for expected inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006559
We derive a model in which a standard international capital asset pricing (ICAPM) model is nested within an ICAPM model with market imperfections. In the latter model an idiosyncratic stochastic factor affects the return of risky assets (over a risk-free rate) on top of the systematic component...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374402