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We show that a model featuring an average commodity factor, a carry factor, and a momentum factor is capable of describing the cross-sectional variation of commodity returns. More parsimonious one- and two-factor models that feature only the average and/or carry factors are rejected. To provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971927
We provide a comprehensive analysis of the determinants of trading in the sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) market, using weekly data for single-name sovereign CDS from October 2008 to September 2015. We describe the anatomy of the sovereign CDS market, derive a law of motion for gross...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541398
The liberalisation of energy markets entails the appearance of market risks which must be borne by market participants: producers, retailers, and final consumers. Some of these risks can be managed by participating in the forward markets and transferring it to other agents who are willing to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101051
We study the volatility risk premia for the G9 currencies and find that they are negative, significant, both statistically and economically, and time varying. Our analysis indicates that the currency volatility risk premia covary with other prominent risk premia that have attracted attention in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992251
While CBOE's VIX index is widely acknowledged as a broad-based investor “fear gauge” for its strong inverse relationship with major equity indexes, one cannot necessarily expect it to translate to the level of future turbulence or investor risk aversion in fixed-income markets. Indeed,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750617
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
This article aims to extend evaluation of the classic multifactor model of Carhart (1997) for the case of global equity indices and to expand analysis performed in Sakowski et. al. (2015). Our intention is to test several modifications of these models to take into account different dynamics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539896
We study whether option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, contains information about future returns, especially the negative ones. Our tail loss measure predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100653
We examine the pricing of volatility risk in the cross-section of equity Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) stock returns over the 1996 – 2010 period. We consider both aggregate (systematic) volatility and firm-specific (idiosyncratic) volatility. In contrast to the negative and significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092294
This paper studies asset pricing wherein the model combines dynamic learning and habit formation with agents' heterogeneous beliefs and preferences in a dynamic, stochastic, general-equilibrium, pure-exchange, international Lucas orchard. The intertemporal equilibrium model considers two groups...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093705