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addresses this challenge by examining whether currency portfolios display an intertemporal risk-return relationship. We consider … time-varying relations because investors' risk-aversion may change over time, based upon changing economic states. Moreover … identify that the relations between risk and return vary over time, and the risk-aversion parameters on momentum and value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912982
This paper studies the historical time-varying dynamics of risk for individual stocks in the U.S. market. Total risk of … an individual stock is decomposed into two components, systematic risk and idiosyncratic risk, and both components are … studied separately. We start from the historical trend in the magnitude of risk and then turn to the relation between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628441
Empirical measures of world consumption growth risk have failed to rationalize the cross-section of country equity … returns. We propose a new factor, termed "the global consumption factor", to explain the patterns in risk premiums on … from 47 developed and emerging market countries over a four-decade period. Our risk factor reflects changes in the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362976
We show that inflation risk is priced in stock returns and that inflation risk premia in the cross-section and the … quantities of inflation risk changing over time. Using a consumption-based asset pricing model, we argue that inflation risk is …' inflation betas can account for the size, variability, predictability and sign reversals in inflation risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905328
market price of risk. We show empirically that a conditional CAPM that accounts for time variation in equity nonlinearity …Because levered equity is an option on the firm, variations in asset idiosyncratic risk (ivol) induces a negative … law of one price, and is present in all but risk-neutral economies. We test the cross-sectional predictions of our theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108
Long-run risk models, a cornerstone in the macro-finance literature for their ability to capture key asset price … phenomena, are known to entail implausibly high levels of timing and risk premia. Our paper resolves this puzzle by considering … and the risk premium is 16 percent of lifetime consumption. These values are about a third of the previously implied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888849
We show that a model featuring an average commodity factor, a carry factor, and a momentum factor is capable of describing the cross-sectional variation of commodity returns. More parsimonious one- and two-factor models that feature only the average and/or carry factors are rejected. To provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971927
variation can resolve several asset-pricing puzzles, including the large countercyclical variation of expected risk premia, the … explanatory power of long-run risk asset-pricing models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853501
We propose a news-implied rare disaster risk indicator and study its predictive power on the returns of U.S. Treasury … not spanned by the current yield curve. The disaster risk factor delivers a counter cycle bond risk premium, and the … predictability of disaster risk is more significant during periods of economic downturn. Our empirical findings show that disaster …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860176
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023281