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The available evidence on the effects of aid on growth is notoriously mixed. We use a novel empirical methodology, a …, imports, and per capita GDP growth to a global aid shock (the common component of individual country aid-to-GDP ratios). We … find that the estimated cumulative resposive of exports and per capita GDP growth to a global aid shock are strongly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010247921
, imports, and per capita GDP growth to a “global” aid shock. We find that a global aid shock can affect exports, imports, and … growth either positively or negatively. As a result, the relation between aid and growth is mixed, consistent with the … ambiguous results in the existing literature. For most countries in the sample, when aid reduces exports and imports, it also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064195
Policy prescriptions for managing natural resource windfalls are based on the permanent income hypothesis: none of the windfall is invested at home and saving in an intergenerational SWF is dictated by smoothing consumption across different generations. Furthermore, with Dutch disease effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960370
productive capacity to satisfy the aid-induced increased demand. Diagnoses on, and prognoses for, the Dutch disease should take …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752440
This paper presents empirical evidence that the massive foreign aid inflows into Ghana that accompanied the 1983 … that aid inflows into Ghana, instead of causing real appreciation of the cedi, caused its depreciation. Using the … behavioral equilibrium real exchange rate approach, it is found that foreign aid inflows do have a significantly positive effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037929
This paper studies how macroeconomic policies can help offset two unintended and undesirable features of foreign aid …: its volatility and Dutch disease. We present evidence that aid volatility augments trade balance volatility and that … foreign aid, with the important exception of years of adverse shocks, depresses exports. We also find that these effects can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752145
Given the significant inflows of foreign aid to sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) the possibility of Dutch Disease has been a … concern. Most macroeconomic models predict that aid inflows, especially if large and/or unanticipated (shocks), will lead to … inconclusive, but a common presumption is that aid has been associated with Dutch Disease effects in SSA. Previous empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008328
We examine aid-induced Dutch Disease - after controlling for the effects of remittances and FDI flows - in the context … aggregated annual data over the period 1980-2009. Aid causes real exchange rate appreciation in the case of Morocco, especially … either country. We discuss the policy implications of the main results: aid and other types of foreign exchange inflow have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010210682
Unlike in Asia, the manufacturing sector has not (yet) become a driver of structural change in Africa. One common explanation is that the natural resource-focus of many African economies leads to Dutch disease effects. To test this argument for the case of newly found oil in Ghana we develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009570498
We provide cross-country evidence that rejects the traditional interpretation of the natural resource curse. First, growth depends negatively on volatility of unanticipated output growth independent of initial income, investment, human capital, trade openness, natural resource dependence, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134342