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We formulate and estimate a simple fiscal policy reaction function for the euro area and individual euro area countries. Our reaction function allows for primary surpluses to feature three components: an anti-cyclical response of primary surpluses to the output gap, a response to the debt-GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235448
The German debt brake is often regarded as a great success story, and has therefore served as a role model for the Euro area and its fiscal compact. In this paper we fundamentally criticize the debt brake. We show that (1) it suffers from serious shortcomings, and its success is far from certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010187671
It is by now a widely shared insight that fiscal policy needs to be re-strengthened as a macroeconomic policy instrument within European macroeconomic policies: Recent experiences with austerity policies, new research regarding the size of the fiscal multiplier and the fact that monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477456
This paper examines the question whether joining EMU or the breach of the Stability and Growth Pact in 2003 had an … having joined EMU or after having breached the Pact in 2003. These results can be explained with the fact that the Pact was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488439
Since 2008, the world economy has been facing the consequences of the global financial crisis. As a result, many economic policy paradigms have been revised, and this process is far from complete. The policy area, which needs a fundamental rethinking (especially in advanced economies), relates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011706402
shocks, discretionary measures remain ill-timed from a stabilisation perspective even when observable and politically more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306605
This study analyzes the correlation between the primary budget balance and the public debt over the last two decades, for a panel of 12 countries from Central and Eastern Europe, in order to assess their debt sustainability, the level of debt at which fiscal fatigue may occur, as well as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312934
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191022
Uncertainty about the future preferences of the government may induce policy makers to run excessive budget deficits. As a solution to this problem, economists have proposed to impose a binding debt rule. In this paper we argue that a binding debt rule does not eliminate the distortions due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010371104
We provide a systematic analysis of fiscal consolidation in a medium-scale dynamic general equilibrium model. Our results show that the choice of the consolidation instrument is very important, not only with respect to the short- and long-run output effects of the different consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416675