We study trends and temporal correlations in the monthly mean temperature data of Prague and Melbourne derived from four state-of-the-art general circulation models that are currently used in studies of anthropogenic effects on the atmosphere: GFDL-R15-a, CSIRO-Mk2, ECHAM4/OPYC3 and HADCM3. In...

We study two aspects of the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) method, namely the scaling behavior of the leading terms of the best-fit polynomials and the detection of trends. We show analytically and numerically that the standard deviation of the leading terms of the best-fit polynomials...