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The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events

Goodwin, Paul; Wright, George - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 77 (2010) 3, pp. 355-368

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974088

Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability : enhancing the scenario method

Wright, George; Goodwin, Paul - In: International journal of forecasting 25 (2009) 4, pp. 813-825

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003921460

A decision-analysis-based framework for analysing stakeholder behaviour in scenario planning

Cairns, George; Goodwin, Paul; Wright, George - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 249 (2016) 3, pp. 1050-1062

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439268

Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems : pitfalls and potential

Wright, George; Cairns, George; O'Brien, Frances; … - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 278 (2019) 1, pp. 3-19

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102587

Scenario thinking : practical approaches to the future

Wright, George - 2011

"Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide detailed 'road maps' on how to implement them - together with practical examples of their...