Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) is a method of combining predictive distributions based on agent opinion analysis theory, which encompasses many common approaches to combining density forecasts. The key ingredient in BPS is a synthesis function. This is typically specified parametrically as...

This "Festschrift" is published to honour the academic career of Hans Schneeweiß, who celebrates his 65th birthday in Spring 1998. The individual chapters contain contributions by his friends and colleagues to the areas in which he himself has excelled and stimulated further research....

This book treats methods and problems of the statistical analysis of economic data in the context of structural change. It documents the state of the art, gives insights into existing methods and describes new developments and trends. An introductory chapter gives a survey of the book and puts...